Kufanotaura kwemusika wepasi rose wekuchengetedza simba muna 2023

China Bhizinesi Intelligence Network Nhau: Kuchengetedzwa kwesimba kunoreva kuchengetwa kwesimba remagetsi, iro rine hukama nehunyanzvi uye zviyero zvekushandisa kemikari kana nzira dzemuviri kuchengetedza simba remagetsi nekurisunungura kana richidikanwa.Zvinoenderana nenzira yekuchengetedza simba, kuchengetedza kwesimba kunogona kukamurwa kuita mechanical simba rekuchengetedza, electromagnetic simba rekuchengetedza, electrochemical simba rekuchengetedza, kupisa kwesimba rekuchengetedza uye kemikari simba rekuchengetedza. nzira yekusarerekera kabhoni.Kunyangwe pasi pekudzvinyirirwa kwehuviri hweCOVID-19 denda uye kushomeka kwekutengesa, musika wepasi rose wekuchengetera simba ucharamba uchikura mukukura muna 2021. Iyo data inoratidza kuti pakupera kwa2021, iyo yakawedzera yakaiswa simba rekuchengetedza simba. mapurojekiti akaiswa mukushanda munyika ndeye 209.4GW, akakwira 9% gore negore;Pakati pavo, huwandu hwakaiswa hwemapurojekiti ekuchengetedza simba matsva akaiswa mukushanda aive 18.3GW, akakwira 185% gore negore.Zvichikanganiswa nekukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi muEurope, zvinotarisirwa kuti kudiwa kwesimba rekuchengetedza simba kucharamba kuchikura mumakore mashoma anotevera, uye kuwedzera kwakaiswa kwesimba rekuchengetedza simba mapurojekiti akaiswa mukushanda munyika achasvika 228.8. GW muna 2023.

Indasitiri tarisiro

1. Favourable policy

Hurumende dzehupfumi hukuru dzakatora mitemo yekukurudzira kuvandudzwa kwekuchengetedza simba.Semuyenzaniso, muUnited States, iyo federal investimendi yemutero kiredhiti inopa mutero kiredhiti yekumisikidzwa kwemidziyo yekuchengetera simba nevashandisi vepamba nevemaindasitiri nevekutengesa.MuEU, iyo 2030 Battery Innovation Roadmap inosimbisa matanho akasiyana-siyana ekusimudzira nharaunda uye hukuru hukuru hwekuvandudza tekinoroji yekuchengetedza simba.MuChina, Chirongwa Chekuita Chekuvandudza KweMagetsi Itsva muChirongwa cheMakore Mashanu chakapihwa muna 2022 chakaisa pamberi pemitemo yakazara uye matanho ekusimudzira indasitiri yekuchengetedza simba kuti ipinde muchikamu chikuru chebudiriro.

2. Chikamu chesimba rakagadzikana mukugadzirwa kwemagetsi kuri kuwedzera

Sesimba remhepo, photovoltaic uye mamwe magadzirirwo emagetsi anotsamira zvakanyanya pane nharaunda yekugadzira magetsi, nekuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma kwechikamu chesimba idzva semhepo uye solar simba, iyo magetsi system inopa kaviri-peak, kaviri-pamusoro uye kaviri- sided randomness, iyo inoisa kumberi kwepamusoro zvinodiwa zvekuchengetedza uye kugadzikana kwegetsi remagetsi, uye musika wakawedzera kudiwa kwekuchengetedza simba, peak-shaving, frequency modulation, uye kushanda kwakagadzikana.Kune rumwe rutivi, mamwe matunhu achiri kutarisana nedambudziko rekukwira kwechiedza uye kusiiwa kwemagetsi, seQinghai, Inner Mongolia, Hebei, nezvimwewo. Nekuvakwa kwebheti nyowani yehukuru-hukuru hwemhepo simba remagetsi photovoltaic mabhesi ekugadzira magetsi, iyo. zvinotarisirwa kuti hukuru-hukuru hutsva hwemagetsi grid-yakabatana kugadzirwa kwemagetsi kuchaunza dzvinyiriro huru pakushandiswa uye kushandiswa kwesimba idzva mune ramangwana.Chikamu chemagetsi emagetsi matsva emagetsi anotarisirwa kudarika 20% muna 2025. Kukurumidza kukura kwesimba idzva rakaiswa simba richaita kuti kuwedzera kwekuchengetedza simba kupere.

3. Kudiwa kwesimba kunoshanduka kune simba rakachena pasi pemaitiro ekugadzirisa magetsi

Pasi pemaitiro ekuiswa kwemagetsi, kudiwa kwesimba kwave kufamba zvishoma nezvishoma kubva kusimba rechinyakare semafuta efossil kuchenesa simba remagetsi.Kuchinja uku kunoratidzwa mukuchinja kubva kumotokari dzemafuta emafuta kuenda kumotokari dzemagetsi, mazhinji ayo anofambiswa nekuparidzirwa kwesimba rinowanikwazve.Sezvo magetsi akachena anowedzera uye akakosha simba, kudiwa kwesimba rekuchengetedza kucharamba kuchikwira kugadzirisa matambudziko ari pakati nepakati uye kuenzanisa kupa uye kudiwa kwemagetsi.

4. Kuderera kwemari yekuchengetedza simba

Huwandu hwepasi rose hweLCOE hwekuchengetedza simba hwakadzika kubva pa2.0 kuenda pa3.5 yuan/kWh muna 2017 kuenda pa0.5 kusvika 0.8 yuan/kWh muna 2021, uye inotarisirwa kuramba ichidzikira kusvika [0.3 kusvika 0.5 yuan/kWh muna 2026. Kuderera kwesimba rekuchengetedza simba. mutengo unonyanya kufambiswa nekufambira mberi kwehunyanzvi hwemabhatiri, kusanganisira kuvandudzwa kwesimba remagetsi, kudzikiswa kwemitengo yekugadzira uye kuwedzera kwehupenyu hwebhatiri.Kuramba kuderera kwemitengo yekuchengetedza simba kuchasimudzira kukura kweindasitiri yekuchengetedza simba.

Kuti uwane rumwe ruzivo, ndapota tarisa kuChirevo cheKutsvagisa paMusika Tarisiro uye Mikana Yekudyara yeGlobal Energy Storage Indasitiri yakaburitswa neChina Commercial Industry Research Institute.Panguva imwecheteyo, iyo China Commercial Indasitiri Research Institute inopawo masevhisi akadai sedata hombe remaindasitiri, hungwaru hwemaindasitiri, mushumo wekutsvagisa maindasitiri, kuronga kwemaindasitiri, kuronga kwepaki, Chirongwa cheMakore gumi nemana, kudyara kwemaindasitiri nemamwe masevhisi.